The ‘Fickle Football Fan Formula’ produces bet selections based on how fans feel. The model aims to determine whether public sentiment is biased towards recent results (hence ‘fickle’), and if that impacts the accuracy of the match odds markets. Learn more.

Current PnL

Total bets: 317
ROI
: +5.51%

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Tips For Upcoming Games

FFFF detects when recent results could exaggerate the odds for upcoming fixtures, and recommends bets accordingly.

NOTE: The 2023/24 season is complete, so there will be no more activity until the new season commences.

Fulham

V

11th May 12:30

Manchester City

RECENT RESULTS
49%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).86%
62%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.5%
28%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.27%
Neither here nor thereSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Extremely optimistic, relaxed
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Everton

V

11th May 15:00

Sheffield United

RECENT RESULTS
67%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).16%
32%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.90%
29%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.23%
Satisfied, quietly positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Hopeless, stressed
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


West Ham

V

11th May 15:00

Luton

RECENT RESULTS
20%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).43%
82%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.73%
50%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.34%
Highly concerned, losing hopeSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Faint disappointment, mixed emotions
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Bournemouth

V

11th May 15:00

Brentford

RECENT RESULTS
42%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).53%
43%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.40%
42%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.28%
Slightly doubtfulSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Faint positivity, mixed emotions
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Wolves

V

11th May 15:00

Crystal Palace

RECENT RESULTS
29%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).70%
67%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.23%
52%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.31%
Losing confidenceSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Gaining confidence
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Tottenham

V

11th May 15:00

Burnley

RECENT RESULTS
15%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).35%
80%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.50%
47%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.35%
Hopeless, stressedSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Dissatisfied, slightly negative
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Newcastle

V

11th May 15:00

Brighton

RECENT RESULTS
77%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).56%
30%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.75%
28%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.63%
Upbeat, positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Faint positivity, mixed emotions
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Nottingham Forest

V

11th May 17:30

Chelsea

RECENT RESULTS
60%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).85%
62%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.22%
63%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.58%
Slightly hopefulSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Extremely optimistic, relaxed
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Manchester United

V

12th May 16:30

Arsenal

RECENT RESULTS
61%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).85%
38%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.12%
13%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.35%
Slightly hopefulSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Extremely optimistic, relaxed
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Aston Villa

V

13th May 20:00

Liverpool

RECENT RESULTS
32%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).65%
45%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.50%
67%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.33%
Losing confidenceSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Satisfied, quietly positive
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Fan Sentiment League Table

This following table shows how fans of each club are likely to be feeling going into their next fixture.

NOTE: the 2023/24 season is complete. This is the final fan sentiment table.

RankClubSentiment
1Crystal Palace

Extremely optimistic, jubilant

2Manchester City

Extremely optimistic, relaxed

3Arsenal

Highly optimistic, confident

4Chelsea

Highly optimistic, confident

5Manchester UnitedUpbeat, positive
6LiverpoolUpbeat, positive
7Nottingham Forest

Satisfied, quietly positive

8Tottenham

Satisfied, quietly positive

9Newcastle

Satisfied, quietly positive

10Fulham

Satisfied, quietly positive

11Brentford

Dissatisfied, slightly negative

12Everton

Dissatisfied, slightly negative

13West Ham

Losing confidence

14Luton

Highly concerned, losing hope

15Brighton

Highly concerned, losing hope

16Burnley

Highly concerned, losing hope

17Aston Villa

Highly concerned, losing hope

18Sheffield United

Highly concerned, losing hope

19Bournemouth

Highly concerned, losing hope

20Wolves

Hopeless, stressed

Premier League Table

# Team MP W D L F A G P
1 Brighton & Hov… 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
2 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
3 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Brentford 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
8 Newcastle United 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 +0 1
10 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 1 1 +0 1
11 Nottingham Forest 1 0 1 0 1 1 +0 1
12 Tottenham Hotspur 1 0 1 0 1 1 +0 1
13 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
14 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
15 Fulham 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Southampton 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
18 Ipswich Town 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
19 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
20 Everton 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0